PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID NEW JERSEY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CAROLINA?

OCT 9, 2025 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNJD 3, CAR 6
AFTER 2NJD 2, CAR 2
REAL PULLNJD 1:57
MODELNOW 7.3%
REAL ONE7.5%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSNJD 22, CAR 33

New Jersey pulled Markstrom with 1:57 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. Carolina hit the empty net with 0:55 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 2:43 graded GOOD CALL, 7.5% to win against a best of 7.3%. Carolina won 6-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call New Jersey faced with 2:43 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.3PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.2AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
6.9WAIT UNTIL 1:30
7.5THE REAL PULL, 1:57 REAL
THE REAL CALL

MARKSTROM STAYED IN UNTIL 1:57, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:43JARVIS SCORES. NJD 3, CAR 4.
1:57MARKSTROM TO THE BENCH. NJD GOES 6 ON 5.
1:36MARKSTROM TO THE BENCH. NJD GOES 6 ON 5.
0:55JARVIS SCORES. NJD 3, CAR 5.
0:13ROBINSON SCORES. NJD 3, CAR 6.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE DEVILS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED FOUR, AND CAROLINA WON 6-3.

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