PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID PHILADELPHIA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST FLORIDA?

OCT 9, 2025 · AMERANT BANK ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALPHI 1, FLA 2
AFTER 2PHI 1, FLA 1
REAL PULLPHI 0:26
MODELNOW 1.5%
REAL ONE1.0%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSPHI 20, FLA 34

Philadelphia pulled too late, by the model. Vladar went to the bench with 0:26 left, down one. With 0:58 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 1.5% to win; the real pull was worth 1.0%, graded COSTLY. Florida won 2-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Philadelphia faced with 0:58 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
1.0WAIT UNTIL 0:28 REAL
1.0AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

VLADAR STAYED IN UNTIL 0:26, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:16FOERSTER PENALTY. INTERFERENCE.
0:26VLADAR TO THE BENCH. PHI GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE FLYERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, FLORIDA SCORED ONE, AND FLORIDA WON 2-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.