PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID CALGARY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST VEGAS?

OCT 14, 2025 · SCOTIABANK SADDLEDOME · THE GAUNTLET

FINALVGK 4, CGY 2
AFTER 2VGK 1, CGY 2
REAL PULLCGY 2:26
MODELWHISTLE 8.4%
REAL ONE8.4%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSVGK 30, CGY 29

Calgary pulled Wolf with 2:26 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. Vegas hit the empty net with 0:07 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:05 graded GOOD CALL, 8.4% to win against a best of 8.4%. Vegas won 4-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Calgary faced with 3:05 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.4AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST REAL
8.3PULL HIM NOW
8.0WAIT UNTIL 1:30
THE REAL CALL

WOLF STAYED IN FOR THE DRAW. PULLED AT THE 2:26 WHISTLE (ICING) FOR AN OFFENSIVE ZONE DRAW.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:26WOLF TO THE BENCH. CGY GOES 6 ON 5.
2:26CGY TIMEOUT.
1:35WOLF TO THE BENCH. CGY GOES 6 ON 5.
0:07HERTL SCORES. VGK 4, CGY 2.

TIMEOUTS

Calgary called its timeout in the third period, with 2:26 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE FLAMES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, VEGAS SCORED THREE, AND VEGAS WON 4-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.