PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID MONTRÉAL PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST NASHVILLE?

OCT 16, 2025 · CENTRE BELL · THE GAUNTLET

FINAL/OTNSH 2, MTL 3
AFTER 2NSH 1, MTL 0
REAL PULLMTL 1:42
MODELNOW 22.4%
REAL ONE20.3%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSNSH 19, MTL 30

The pull worked. Montréal pulled Dobes with 1:42 left, down one, and Caufield tied it with 0:20 left, six on five. By the model the call at 5:42 graded A BIT COSTLY: 20.3% to win, against 22.4% for PULL HIM NOW. Montréal won 3-2 in overtime.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Montréal faced with 5:42 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
22.4PULL HIM NOW BEST
21.7AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
20.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
20.3THE REAL PULL, 1:42 REAL
THE REAL CALL

DOBES STAYED IN UNTIL 1:42, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

Third period: time left. Overtime: time into it.

1:42DOBES TO THE BENCH. MTL GOES 6 ON 5.
0:20CAUFIELD SCORES. NSH 2, MTL 2.
OT 4:57CAUFIELD SCORES. NSH 2, MTL 3.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE CANADIENS SCORED TWO IN THE THIRD, NASHVILLE SCORED ONE, AND THE CANADIENS WON 3-2 IN OVERTIME.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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