PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID TAMPA BAY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST COLUMBUS?

OCT 18, 2025 · NATIONWIDE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALTBL 2, CBJ 3
AFTER 2TBL 2, CBJ 2
REAL PULLTBL 2:03
MODELWHISTLE 8.9%
REAL ONE9.1%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSTBL 24, CBJ 31

Tampa Bay pulled Johansson with 2:03 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:21 graded GOOD CALL, 9.1% to win against a best of 8.9%. Columbus won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Tampa Bay faced with 3:21 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.9AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
8.7PULL HIM NOW
8.4WAIT UNTIL 1:30
9.1THE REAL PULL, 2:03 REAL
THE REAL CALL

JOHANSSON STAYED IN UNTIL 2:03, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:03JOHANSSON TO THE BENCH. TBL GOES 6 ON 5.
0:00HAGEL PENALTY. UNSPORTSMANLIKE CONDUCT.
0:00OLIVIER PENALTY. ROUGHING.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE LIGHTNING SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, COLUMBUS SCORED ONE, AND COLUMBUS WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.