PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID CALGARY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST WINNIPEG?

OCT 20, 2025 · SCOTIABANK SADDLEDOME · THE GAUNTLET

FINALWPG 2, CGY 1
AFTER 2WPG 0, CGY 1
REAL PULLCGY 1:42
MODELWHISTLE 10.5%
REAL ONE10.3%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSWPG 27, CGY 33

Calgary pulled Wolf with 1:42 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 4:54 graded GOOD CALL, 10.3% to win against a best of 10.5%. Winnipeg won 2-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Calgary faced with 4:54 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
10.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
10.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
9.9PULL HIM NOW
10.3THE REAL PULL, 1:42 REAL
THE REAL CALL

WOLF STAYED IN UNTIL 1:42, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:54SCHEIFELE SCORES. WPG 2, CGY 1.
1:42WOLF TO THE BENCH. CGY GOES 6 ON 5.
1:19CGY TIMEOUT.
0:26TOEWS PENALTY. SLASHING.

TIMEOUTS

Calgary called its timeout in the third period, with 1:19 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE FLAMES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, WINNIPEG SCORED TWO, AND WINNIPEG WON 2-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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