PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID TAMPA BAY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CHICAGO?

OCT 23, 2025 · BENCHMARK INTERNATIONAL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALCHI 3, TBL 2
AFTER 2CHI 2, TBL 2
REAL PULLTBL 0:47
MODELNOW 2.6%
REAL ONE2.6%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSCHI 25, TBL 31

Tampa Bay pulled Vasilevskiy with 0:47 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 0:54 graded GOOD CALL, 2.6% to win against a best of 2.6%. Chicago won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Tampa Bay faced with 0:54 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
2.6PULL HIM NOW BEST REAL
2.5WAIT UNTIL 0:24
2.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

VASILEVSKIY CAME OUT RIGHT OFF THE DRAW, WITH 0:47 LEFT.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

0:54DONATO SCORES. CHI 3, TBL 2.
0:54TBL TIMEOUT.
0:47VASILEVSKIY TO THE BENCH. TBL GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Tampa Bay called its timeout in the third period, with 0:54 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE LIGHTNING SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, CHICAGO SCORED ONE, AND CHICAGO WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.