PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID SAN JOSE PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST NEW JERSEY?

OCT 24, 2025 · PRUDENTIAL CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSJS 1, NJD 3
AFTER 2SJS 1, NJD 2
REAL PULLSJS 2:14
MODELNOW 7.5%
REAL ONE7.8%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSSJS 17, NJD 29

San Jose pulled Askarov with 2:14 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. New Jersey hit the empty net with 0:47 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 2:50 graded GOOD CALL, 7.8% to win against a best of 7.5%. New Jersey won 3-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call San Jose faced with 2:50 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.4AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
7.8THE REAL PULL, 2:14 REAL
THE REAL CALL

ASKAROV STAYED IN UNTIL 2:14, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:14ASKAROV TO THE BENCH. SJS GOES 6 ON 5.
0:47BROWN SCORES. SJS 1, NJD 3.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE SHARKS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, NEW JERSEY SCORED ONE, AND NEW JERSEY WON 3-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.