PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID EDMONTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST SEATTLE?

OCT 25, 2025 · CLIMATE PLEDGE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALEDM 2, SEA 3
AFTER 2EDM 1, SEA 2
REAL PULLEDM 1:39
MODELNOW 8.6%
REAL ONE7.3%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSEDM 33, SEA 23

Edmonton pulled too late, by the model. Skinner went to the bench with 1:39 left, down one. With 3:11 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 8.6% to win; the real pull was worth 7.3%, graded COSTLY. Seattle won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Edmonton faced with 3:11 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.6PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.3WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SKINNER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:39, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:39SKINNER TO THE BENCH. EDM GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE OILERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, SEATTLE SCORED ONE, AND SEATTLE WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.