DID ST. LOUIS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST PITTSBURGH?
OCT 27, 2025 · PPG PAINTS ARENA · THE GAUNTLET
FINALSTL 3, PIT 6
AFTER 2STL 2, PIT 3
REAL PULLSTL 3:08
MODELNOW 0.9%
REAL ONE0.9%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSSTL 28, PIT 26
St. Louis pulled Hofer with 3:08 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Pittsburgh hit the empty net with 3:01 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:21 graded GOOD CALL, 0.9% to win against a best of 0.9%. Pittsburgh won 6-3.
THE MODEL'S CALL
The call St. Louis faced with 3:21 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.
| WIN % | CALL |
|---|---|
| 0.9 | PULL HIM NOW BEST |
| 0.8 | AT THE NEXT WHISTLE |
| 0.7 | WAIT UNTIL 1:30 |
| 0.9 | THE REAL PULL, 3:08 REAL |
THE REAL CALL
HOFER STAYED IN UNTIL 3:08, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.
THE LAST FIVE MINUTES
| 3:21 | CROSBY SCORES. STL 3, PIT 5. |
| 3:08 | HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5. |
| 3:01 | MALKIN SCORES. STL 3, PIT 6. |
TIMEOUTS
Neither team called its timeout.
WHAT HAPPENED
THE BLUES SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, PITTSBURGH SCORED THREE, AND PITTSBURGH WON 6-3.