PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WASHINGTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST DALLAS?

OCT 28, 2025 · AMERICAN AIRLINES CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALWSH 0, DAL 1
AFTER 2WSH 0, DAL 1
REAL PULLWSH 1:39
MODELNOW 7.8%
REAL ONE7.4%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSWSH 24, DAL 19

Washington pulled a little late, by the model. Thompson went to the bench with 1:39 left, down one. With 2:41 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 7.8% to win; the real pull was worth 7.4%, graded FAIR. Dallas won 1-0.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Washington faced with 2:41 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.8PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.7AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.4WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

THOMPSON STAYED IN UNTIL 1:39, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:39THOMPSON TO THE BENCH. WSH GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE CAPITALS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, DALLAS SCORED NOTHING, AND DALLAS WON 1-0.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.