PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID MINNESOTA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST PITTSBURGH?

OCT 30, 2025 · GRAND CASINO ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALPIT 4, MIN 1
AFTER 2PIT 1, MIN 1
REAL PULLMIN 2:53
MODELNOW 6.7%
REAL ONE5.6%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSPIT 34, MIN 27

Minnesota pulled too late, by the model. Gustavsson went to the bench with 2:53 left, down two. With 7:13 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 6.7% to win; the real pull was worth 5.6%, graded COSTLY. Pittsburgh hit the empty net with 2:42 left. Pittsburgh won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Minnesota faced with 7:13 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
6.7PULL HIM NOW BEST
6.1AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
5.3WAIT UNTIL 1:30
5.6THE REAL PULL, 2:53 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GUSTAVSSON STAYED IN UNTIL 2:53, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:53GUSTAVSSON TO THE BENCH. MIN GOES 6 ON 5.
2:42MANTHA SCORES. PIT 4, MIN 1.

TIMEOUTS

Pittsburgh called its timeout in the first period, with 6:54 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE WILD SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, PITTSBURGH SCORED THREE, AND PITTSBURGH WON 4-1.

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