PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WASHINGTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST THE ISLANDERS?

OCT 31, 2025 · CAPITAL ONE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYI 3, WSH 1
AFTER 2NYI 1, WSH 1
REAL PULLWSH 1:29
MODELWHISTLE 10.9%
REAL ONE10.5%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSNYI 23, WSH 23

Washington pulled a little late, by the model. Thompson went to the bench with 1:29 left, down one. With 4:50 left, the best call on the board was AT THE NEXT WHISTLE, 10.9% to win; the real pull was worth 10.5%, graded FAIR. The Islanders hit the empty net with 1:16 left. The Islanders won 3-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Washington faced with 4:50 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
10.9AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
10.5WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
10.3PULL HIM NOW
THE REAL CALL

THOMPSON STAYED IN UNTIL 1:29, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:29THOMPSON TO THE BENCH. WSH GOES 6 ON 5.
1:16BARZAL SCORES. NYI 3, WSH 1.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE CAPITALS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, THE ISLANDERS SCORED TWO, AND THE ISLANDERS WON 3-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.