PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID CAROLINA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST BOSTON?

NOV 1, 2025 · TD GARDEN · THE GAUNTLET

FINALCAR 1, BOS 2
AFTER 2CAR 0, BOS 0
REAL PULLCAR 1:17
MODELNOW 7.5%
REAL ONE7.1%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSCAR 29, BOS 22

Carolina pulled a little late, by the model. Andersen went to the bench with 1:17 left, down one. With 2:49 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 7.5% to win; the real pull was worth 7.1%, graded FAIR. Boston won 2-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Carolina faced with 2:49 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.4AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

ANDERSEN STAYED IN UNTIL 1:17, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:49NIKISHIN SCORES. CAR 1, BOS 2.
1:17ANDERSEN TO THE BENCH. CAR GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE HURRICANES SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, BOSTON SCORED TWO, AND BOSTON WON 2-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.