PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID ST. LOUIS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST COLUMBUS?

NOV 1, 2025 · NATIONWIDE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSTL 2, CBJ 3
AFTER 2STL 1, CBJ 2
REAL PULLSTL 1:56
MODELNOW 7.8%
REAL ONE8.0%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSSTL 39, CBJ 35

St. Louis pulled Hofer with 1:56 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 2:40 graded GOOD CALL, 8.0% to win against a best of 7.8%. Columbus won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call St. Louis faced with 2:40 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.8PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.3WAIT UNTIL 1:30
8.0THE REAL PULL, 1:56 REAL
THE REAL CALL

HOFER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:56, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:56HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE BLUES SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, COLUMBUS SCORED ONE, AND COLUMBUS WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.