PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID DETROIT PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST VEGAS?

NOV 4, 2025 · T-MOBILE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALDET 0, VGK 1
AFTER 2DET 0, VGK 1
REAL PULLDET 1:59
MODELNOW 7.8%
REAL ONE7.1%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSDET 24, VGK 34

Detroit pulled late, by the model. Gibson went to the bench with 1:59 left, down one. With 2:35 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 7.8% to win; the real pull was worth 7.1%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Vegas won 1-0.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Detroit faced with 2:35 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.8PULL HIM NOW BEST
6.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
6.4WAIT UNTIL 1:30
7.1THE REAL PULL, 1:59 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GIBSON STAYED IN UNTIL 1:59, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:59GIBSON TO THE BENCH. DET GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE RED WINGS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, VEGAS SCORED NOTHING, AND VEGAS WON 1-0.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.