PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID MINNESOTA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CAROLINA?

NOV 6, 2025 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALMIN 3, CAR 4
AFTER 2MIN 3, CAR 4
REAL PULLMIN 1:41
MODELWHISTLE 11.0%
REAL ONE10.8%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSMIN 24, CAR 27

Minnesota pulled Gustavsson with 1:41 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 4:55 graded GOOD CALL, 10.8% to win against a best of 11.0%. Carolina won 4-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Minnesota faced with 4:55 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
11.0AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
10.6WAIT UNTIL 1:30
10.4PULL HIM NOW
10.8THE REAL PULL, 1:41 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GUSTAVSSON STAYED IN UNTIL 1:41, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:41GUSTAVSSON TO THE BENCH. MIN GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE WILD SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED NOTHING, AND CAROLINA WON 4-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.