PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WASHINGTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST TAMPA BAY?

NOV 8, 2025 · BENCHMARK INTERNATIONAL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALWSH 2, TBL 3
AFTER 2WSH 2, TBL 2
REAL PULLWSH 0:12
MODELNOW 1.9%
REAL ONE1.6%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSWSH 30, TBL 20

Washington pulled late, by the model. Thompson went to the bench with 0:12 left, down one. With 1:38 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 1.9% to win; the real pull was worth 1.6%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Tampa Bay won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Washington faced with 1:38 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.9PULL HIM NOW BEST
1.6WAIT UNTIL 1:08 REAL
1.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

THOMPSON STAYED IN UNTIL 0:12, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:48HEDMAN PENALTY. SLASHING.
3:48WILSON PENALTY. CROSS CHECKING.
1:38CARLSON PENALTY. HOOKING.
0:16WILSON PENALTY. MISCONDUCT.
0:12THOMPSON TO THE BENCH. WSH GOES 6 ON 5.
0:02WSH TIMEOUT.
0:00CHYCHRUN PENALTY. FIGHTING.
0:00CERNAK PENALTY. FIGHTING.

TIMEOUTS

Washington called its timeout in the third period, with 0:02 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE CAPITALS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, TAMPA BAY SCORED ONE, AND TAMPA BAY WON 3-2.

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