PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID SEATTLE PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST DALLAS?

NOV 9, 2025 · AMERICAN AIRLINES CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSEA 1, DAL 2
AFTER 2SEA 1, DAL 2
REAL PULLSEA 1:47
MODELNOW 7.5%
REAL ONE6.6%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSSEA 31, DAL 25

Seattle pulled late, by the model. Murray went to the bench with 1:47 left, down one. With 2:25 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 7.5% to win; the real pull was worth 6.6%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Dallas won 2-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Seattle faced with 2:25 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
6.2AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
6.2WAIT UNTIL 1:30
6.6THE REAL PULL, 1:47 REAL
THE REAL CALL

MURRAY STAYED IN UNTIL 1:47, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:47MURRAY TO THE BENCH. SEA GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE KRAKEN SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, DALLAS SCORED NOTHING, AND DALLAS WON 2-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.