PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID CAROLINA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST WASHINGTON?

NOV 11, 2025 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALWSH 4, CAR 1
AFTER 2WSH 2, CAR 1
REAL PULLCAR 2:05
MODELNOW 4.3%
REAL ONE3.4%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSWSH 28, CAR 31

Carolina pulled too late, by the model. Kochetkov went to the bench with 2:05 left, down two. With 3:22 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 4.3% to win; the real pull was worth 3.4%, graded COSTLY. Washington hit the empty net with 0:31 left. Washington won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Carolina faced with 3:22 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
4.3PULL HIM NOW BEST
3.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
2.9WAIT UNTIL 1:30
3.4THE REAL PULL, 2:05 REAL
THE REAL CALL

KOCHETKOV STAYED IN UNTIL 2:05, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:22CHYCHRUN PENALTY. CROSS CHECKING.
2:05KOCHETKOV TO THE BENCH. CAR GOES 6 ON 5.
0:31OVECHKIN SCORES. WSH 4, CAR 1.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE HURRICANES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, WASHINGTON SCORED TWO, AND WASHINGTON WON 4-1.

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