PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID BUFFALO PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST UTAH?

NOV 12, 2025 · DELTA CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALBUF 2, UTA 5
AFTER 2BUF 2, UTA 1
REAL PULLBUF 2:40
MODELNOW 1.7%
REAL ONE1.3%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSBUF 19, UTA 37

Buffalo pulled too late, by the model. Ellis went to the bench with 2:40 left, down two. With 4:57 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 1.7% to win; the real pull was worth 1.3%, graded COSTLY. Utah hit the empty net with 0:27 left. Utah won 5-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Buffalo faced with 4:57 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.7PULL HIM NOW BEST
1.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
1.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
1.3THE REAL PULL, 2:40 REAL
THE REAL CALL

ELLIS STAYED IN UNTIL 2:40, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:40ELLIS TO THE BENCH. BUF GOES 6 ON 5.
1:40ELLIS TO THE BENCH. BUF GOES 6 ON 5.
0:27KELLER SCORES. BUF 2, UTA 5.
0:23DUNNE PENALTY. CROSS CHECKING.
0:23DUNNE PENALTY. MISCONDUCT.
0:23HAYTON PENALTY. MISCONDUCT.
0:23KREBS PENALTY. MISCONDUCT.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE SABRES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, UTAH SCORED FOUR, AND UTAH WON 5-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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