PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID THE ISLANDERS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST COLORADO?

NOV 16, 2025 · BALL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYI 1, COL 4
AFTER 2NYI 1, COL 2
REAL PULLNYI 2:09
MODELNOW 15.4%
REAL ONE14.3%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSNYI 29, COL 28

The Islanders pulled late, by the model. Sorokin went to the bench with 2:09 left, down one. With 2:44 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 15.4% to win; the real pull was worth 14.3%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Colorado hit the empty net with 0:35 left. Colorado won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call the Islanders faced with 2:44 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
15.4PULL HIM NOW BEST
13.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
13.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
14.3THE REAL PULL, 2:09 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SOROKIN STAYED IN UNTIL 2:09, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:20NECAS PENALTY. DELAYING GAME PUCK OVER GLASS.
2:18NYI TIMEOUT.
2:09SOROKIN TO THE BENCH. NYI GOES 6 ON 5.
0:35NECAS SCORES. NYI 1, COL 3.
0:16NELSON SCORES. NYI 1, COL 4.

TIMEOUTS

The Islanders called its timeout in the third period, with 2:18 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE ISLANDERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, COLORADO SCORED TWO, AND COLORADO WON 4-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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