PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID BUFFALO PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST PITTSBURGH?

NOV 26, 2025 · PPG PAINTS ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALBUF 2, PIT 4
AFTER 2BUF 0, PIT 1
REAL PULLBUF 1:35
MODELWHISTLE 8.3%
REAL ONE7.9%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSBUF 31, PIT 19

Buffalo pulled a little late, by the model. Luukkonen went to the bench with 1:35 left, down one. With 3:02 left, the best call on the board was AT THE NEXT WHISTLE, 8.3% to win; the real pull was worth 7.9%, graded FAIR. Pittsburgh hit the empty net with 0:58 left. Pittsburgh won 4-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Buffalo faced with 3:02 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.3AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
8.3PULL HIM NOW
7.9WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

LUUKKONEN STAYED IN UNTIL 1:35, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:18QUINN SCORES. BUF 2, PIT 3.
1:35LUUKKONEN TO THE BENCH. BUF GOES 6 ON 5.
0:58DEWAR SCORES. BUF 2, PIT 4.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE SABRES SCORED TWO IN THE THIRD, PITTSBURGH SCORED THREE, AND PITTSBURGH WON 4-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.