PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID DETROIT PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST TAMPA BAY?

NOV 28, 2025 · LITTLE CAESARS ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALTBL 6, DET 3
AFTER 2TBL 4, DET 3
REAL PULLDET 3:25
MODELNOW 1.5%
REAL ONE1.3%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSTBL 27, DET 37

Detroit pulled too late, by the model. Gibson went to the bench with 3:25 left, down two. With 4:28 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 1.5% to win; the real pull was worth 1.3%, graded COSTLY. Tampa Bay hit the empty net with 2:47 left. Tampa Bay won 6-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Detroit faced with 4:28 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
1.3AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.9WAIT UNTIL 1:30
1.3THE REAL PULL, 3:25 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GIBSON STAYED IN UNTIL 3:25, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:25GIBSON TO THE BENCH. DET GOES 6 ON 5.
2:47HAGEL SCORES. TBL 6, DET 3.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE RED WINGS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, TAMPA BAY SCORED TWO, AND TAMPA BAY WON 6-3.

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