PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID TORONTO PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST WASHINGTON?

NOV 28, 2025 · CAPITAL ONE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALTOR 2, WSH 4
AFTER 2TOR 2, WSH 1
REAL PULLTOR 1:39
MODELWHISTLE 9.3%
REAL ONE8.7%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSTOR 22, WSH 34

Toronto pulled a little late, by the model. Woll went to the bench with 1:39 left, down one. With 3:56 left, the best call on the board was AT THE NEXT WHISTLE, 9.3% to win; the real pull was worth 8.7%, graded FAIR. Washington hit the empty net with 0:02 left. Washington won 4-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Toronto faced with 3:56 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
9.3AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
8.9PULL HIM NOW
8.7WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

WOLL STAYED IN UNTIL 1:39, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:56CHYCHRUN SCORES. TOR 2, WSH 3.
1:39WOLL TO THE BENCH. TOR GOES 6 ON 5.
0:02WILSON SCORES. TOR 2, WSH 4.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE MAPLE LEAFS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, WASHINGTON SCORED THREE, AND WASHINGTON WON 4-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.