PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WINNIPEG PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CAROLINA?

NOV 28, 2025 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALWPG 1, CAR 5
AFTER 2WPG 1, CAR 1
REAL PULLWPG 2:25
MODELNOW 1.1%
REAL ONE0.8%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSWPG 13, CAR 35

Winnipeg pulled too late, by the model. Milic went to the bench with 2:25 left, down two. With 3:21 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 1.1% to win; the real pull was worth 0.8%, graded COSTLY. Carolina hit the empty net with 1:03 left. Carolina won 5-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Winnipeg faced with 3:21 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.1PULL HIM NOW BEST
0.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.6WAIT UNTIL 1:30
0.8THE REAL PULL, 2:25 REAL
THE REAL CALL

MILIC STAYED IN UNTIL 2:25, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:25MILIC TO THE BENCH. WPG GOES 6 ON 5.
1:03JARVIS SCORES. WPG 1, CAR 4.
0:23NIKISHIN SCORES. WPG 1, CAR 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE JETS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED FOUR, AND CAROLINA WON 5-1.

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