PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID EDMONTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST MINNESOTA?

DEC 2, 2025 · ROGERS PLACE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALMIN 1, EDM 0
AFTER 2MIN 1, EDM 0
REAL PULLEDM 1:39
MODELNOW 8.7%
REAL ONE7.4%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSMIN 24, EDM 33

Edmonton pulled late, by the model. Skinner went to the bench with 1:39 left, down one. With 3:16 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 8.7% to win; the real pull was worth 7.4%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Minnesota won 1-0.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Edmonton faced with 3:16 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.7PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.9AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.4WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SKINNER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:39, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:39SKINNER TO THE BENCH. EDM GOES 6 ON 5.
0:42BOLDY PENALTY. TRIPPING.
0:42EDM TIMEOUT.

TIMEOUTS

Edmonton called its timeout in the third period, with 0:42 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE OILERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, MINNESOTA SCORED NOTHING, AND MINNESOTA WON 1-0.

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