PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID MINNESOTA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CALGARY?

DEC 4, 2025 · SCOTIABANK SADDLEDOME · THE GAUNTLET

FINALMIN 1, CGY 4
AFTER 2MIN 1, CGY 1
REAL PULLMIN 4:01
MODELNOW 1.9%
REAL ONE1.7%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSMIN 27, CGY 31

Minnesota pulled late, by the model. Gustavsson went to the bench with 4:01 left, down two. With 5:47 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 1.9% to win; the real pull was worth 1.7%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Calgary hit the empty net with 1:00 left. Calgary won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Minnesota faced with 5:47 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.9PULL HIM NOW BEST
1.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
1.3WAIT UNTIL 1:30
1.7THE REAL PULL, 4:01 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GUSTAVSSON STAYED IN UNTIL 4:01, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:01GUSTAVSSON TO THE BENCH. MIN GOES 6 ON 5.
2:18GUSTAVSSON TO THE BENCH. MIN GOES 6 ON 5.
1:13MIN TIMEOUT.
1:00ANDERSSON SCORES. MIN 1, CGY 4.

TIMEOUTS

Minnesota called its timeout in the third period, with 1:13 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE WILD SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, CALGARY SCORED THREE, AND CALGARY WON 4-1.

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