PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID SAN JOSE PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST DALLAS?

DEC 5, 2025 · AMERICAN AIRLINES CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSJS 1, DAL 4
AFTER 2SJS 1, DAL 1
REAL PULLSJS 2:52
MODELNOW 0.9%
REAL ONE0.9%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSSJS 17, DAL 24

San Jose pulled Askarov with 2:52 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Dallas hit the empty net with 2:19 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:21 graded GOOD CALL, 0.9% to win against a best of 0.9%. Dallas won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call San Jose faced with 3:21 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
0.9PULL HIM NOW BEST
0.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.7WAIT UNTIL 1:30
0.9THE REAL PULL, 2:52 REAL
THE REAL CALL

ASKAROV STAYED IN UNTIL 2:52, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:21RANTANEN SCORES. SJS 1, DAL 3.
2:52ASKAROV TO THE BENCH. SJS GOES 6 ON 5.
2:26ASKAROV TO THE BENCH. SJS GOES 6 ON 5.
2:19HEISKANEN SCORES. SJS 1, DAL 4.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE SHARKS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, DALLAS SCORED THREE, AND DALLAS WON 4-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.