PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID TAMPA BAY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST THE ISLANDERS?

DEC 6, 2025 · BENCHMARK INTERNATIONAL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYI 2, TBL 0
AFTER 2NYI 0, TBL 0
REAL PULLTBL 3:16
MODELNOW 9.4%
REAL ONE8.8%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSNYI 19, TBL 32

Tampa Bay pulled late, by the model. Johansson went to the bench with 3:16 left, down one. With 3:49 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 9.4% to win; the real pull was worth 8.8%, graded A BIT COSTLY. The Islanders hit the empty net with 0:02 left. The Islanders won 2-0.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Tampa Bay faced with 3:49 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
9.4PULL HIM NOW BEST
8.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE REAL
8.3WAIT UNTIL 1:30
THE REAL CALL

JOHANSSON STAYED IN FOR THE DRAW. PULLED AT THE 3:16 WHISTLE (ICING) FOR AN OFFENSIVE ZONE DRAW.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:16JOHANSSON TO THE BENCH. TBL GOES 6 ON 5.
0:02CIZIKAS SCORES. NYI 2, TBL 0.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE LIGHTNING SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, THE ISLANDERS SCORED TWO, AND THE ISLANDERS WON 2-0.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.