PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID OTTAWA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST NEW JERSEY?

DEC 9, 2025 · CANADIAN TIRE CENTRE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNJD 4, OTT 3
AFTER 2NJD 3, OTT 3
REAL PULLOTT 2:08
MODELWHISTLE 9.7%
REAL ONE9.8%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSNJD 32, OTT 38

Ottawa pulled Ullmark with 2:08 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:54 graded GOOD CALL, 9.8% to win against a best of 9.7%. New Jersey won 4-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Ottawa faced with 3:54 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
9.7AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
9.3PULL HIM NOW
9.2WAIT UNTIL 1:30
9.8THE REAL PULL, 2:08 REAL
THE REAL CALL

ULLMARK STAYED IN UNTIL 2:08, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:08ULLMARK TO THE BENCH. OTT GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE SENATORS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, NEW JERSEY SCORED ONE, AND NEW JERSEY WON 4-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.