PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID OTTAWA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST MINNESOTA?

DEC 13, 2025 · GRAND CASINO ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALOTT 2, MIN 3
AFTER 2OTT 1, MIN 2
REAL PULLOTT 0:24
MODELNOW 0.8%
REAL ONE0.8%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSOTT 36, MIN 25

Ottawa pulled Merilainen with 0:24 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. Minnesota hit the empty net with 0:24 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 0:24 graded GOOD CALL, 0.8% to win against a best of 0.8%. Minnesota won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Ottawa faced with 0:24 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
0.8PULL HIM NOW BEST REAL
0.6WAIT UNTIL 0:00
0.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

MERILAINEN WENT TO THE BENCH BEFORE THE DRAW. SIX ATTACKERS FROM 0:24.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:32HUNT PENALTY. HIGH STICKING.
0:24ERIKSSON EK SCORES. OTT 2, MIN 3.
0:24MERILAINEN TO THE BENCH. OTT GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE SENATORS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, MINNESOTA SCORED ONE, AND MINNESOTA WON 3-2.

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