PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID COLUMBUS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST VEGAS?

DEC 13, 2025 · NATIONWIDE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALVGK 3, CBJ 2
AFTER 2VGK 1, CBJ 1
REAL PULLCBJ 1:08
MODELNOW 19.8%
REAL ONE18.0%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSVGK 26, CBJ 30

Columbus pulled late, by the model. Greaves went to the bench with 1:08 left, down one. With 2:59 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 19.8% to win; the real pull was worth 18.0%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Vegas won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Columbus faced with 2:59 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
19.8PULL HIM NOW BEST
18.7AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
18.0WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GREAVES STAYED IN UNTIL 1:08, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:59MCNABB PENALTY. HIGH STICKING DOUBLE MINOR.
1:08GREAVES TO THE BENCH. CBJ GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE BLUE JACKETS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, VEGAS SCORED TWO, AND VEGAS WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.