PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID PHILADELPHIA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CAROLINA?

DEC 14, 2025 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINAL/SOPHI 2, CAR 3
AFTER 2PHI 1, CAR 2
REAL PULLPHI 2:18
MODELNOW 8.4%
REAL ONE7.8%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSPHI 26, CAR 32

The pull worked. Philadelphia pulled Vladar with 2:18 left, down one, and Zegras tied it with 1:52 left, six on five. By the model the call at 3:01 graded A BIT COSTLY: 7.8% to win, against 8.4% for PULL HIM NOW. Carolina won 3-2 in a shootout.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Philadelphia faced with 3:01 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.4PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.0WAIT UNTIL 1:30
7.8THE REAL PULL, 2:18 REAL
THE REAL CALL

VLADAR STAYED IN UNTIL 2:18, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

Third period: time left. Overtime: time into it.

2:18VLADAR TO THE BENCH. PHI GOES 6 ON 5.
1:52ZEGRAS SCORES. PHI 2, CAR 2.
OT 0:42BRINK PENALTY. TRIPPING.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE FLYERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED NOTHING, AND CAROLINA WON 3-2 IN A SHOOTOUT.

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