PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID SEATTLE PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST COLORADO?

DEC 16, 2025 · CLIMATE PLEDGE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALCOL 5, SEA 3
AFTER 2COL 2, SEA 3
REAL PULLSEA 1:48
MODELWHISTLE 10.1%
REAL ONE10.0%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSCOL 39, SEA 38

Seattle pulled Grubauer with 1:48 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. Colorado hit the empty net with 0:24 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 4:10 graded GOOD CALL, 10.0% to win against a best of 10.1%. Colorado won 5-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Seattle faced with 4:10 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
10.1AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
9.6PULL HIM NOW
9.6WAIT UNTIL 1:30
10.0THE REAL PULL, 1:48 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GRUBAUER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:48, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:48GRUBAUER TO THE BENCH. SEA GOES 6 ON 5.
0:24MACKINNON SCORES. COL 5, SEA 3.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE KRAKEN SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, COLORADO SCORED THREE, AND COLORADO WON 5-3.

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