PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID NASHVILLE PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CAROLINA?

DEC 17, 2025 · BRIDGESTONE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALCAR 4, NSH 1
AFTER 2CAR 1, NSH 0
REAL PULLNSH 3:57
MODELNOW 2.2%
REAL ONE1.9%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSCAR 37, NSH 26

Nashville pulled late, by the model. Saros went to the bench with 3:57 left, down two. With 6:28 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 2.2% to win; the real pull was worth 1.9%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Carolina hit the empty net with 0:45 left. Carolina won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Nashville faced with 6:28 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
2.2PULL HIM NOW BEST
2.0AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
1.6WAIT UNTIL 1:30
1.9THE REAL PULL, 3:57 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SAROS STAYED IN UNTIL 3:57, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:57SAROS TO THE BENCH. NSH GOES 6 ON 5.
2:15SAROS TO THE BENCH. NSH GOES 6 ON 5.
0:58SAROS TO THE BENCH. NSH GOES 6 ON 5.
0:45AHO SCORES. CAR 4, NSH 1.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE PREDATORS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED THREE, AND CAROLINA WON 4-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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