PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID PHILADELPHIA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST BUFFALO?

DEC 18, 2025 · KEYBANK CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALPHI 3, BUF 5
AFTER 2PHI 2, BUF 3
REAL PULLPHI 1:51
MODELNOW 15.5%
REAL ONE14.6%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSPHI 27, BUF 28

Philadelphia pulled a little late, by the model. Ersson went to the bench with 1:51 left, down one. With 2:19 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 15.5% to win; the real pull was worth 14.6%, graded FAIR. Buffalo hit the empty net with 0:08 left. Buffalo won 5-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Philadelphia faced with 2:19 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
15.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
14.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
14.1AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
14.6THE REAL PULL, 1:51 REAL
THE REAL CALL

ERSSON STAYED IN UNTIL 1:51, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:41ZEGRAS PENALTY. HOOKING.
2:19SAMUELSSON PENALTY. DELAYING GAME PUCK OVER GLASS.
1:51ERSSON TO THE BENCH. PHI GOES 6 ON 5.
0:08MCLEOD SCORES. PHI 3, BUF 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE FLYERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, BUFFALO SCORED TWO, AND BUFFALO WON 5-3.

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