PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WINNIPEG PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST COLORADO?

DEC 19, 2025 · BALL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALWPG 2, COL 3
AFTER 2WPG 1, COL 2
REAL PULLWPG 1:00
MODELNOW 6.3%
REAL ONE5.1%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSWPG 22, COL 26

Winnipeg pulled too late, by the model. Hellebuyck went to the bench with 1:00 left, down one. With 1:46 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 6.3% to win; the real pull was worth 5.1%, graded COSTLY. Colorado won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Winnipeg faced with 1:46 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
6.3PULL HIM NOW BEST
5.1WAIT UNTIL 1:16 REAL
4.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

HELLEBUYCK STAYED IN UNTIL 1:00, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:00HELLEBUYCK TO THE BENCH. WPG GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE JETS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, COLORADO SCORED ONE, AND COLORADO WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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