PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID THE RANGERS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST THE ISLANDERS?

DEC 27, 2025 · UBS ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYR 0, NYI 2
AFTER 2NYR 0, NYI 1
REAL PULLNYR 2:07
MODELNOW 18.0%
REAL ONE16.7%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSNYR 27, NYI 26

The Rangers pulled late, by the model. Shesterkin went to the bench with 2:07 left, down one. With 3:01 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 18.0% to win; the real pull was worth 16.7%, graded A BIT COSTLY. The Islanders hit the empty net with 0:17 left. The Islanders won 2-0.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call the Rangers faced with 3:01 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
18.0PULL HIM NOW BEST
16.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
15.7WAIT UNTIL 1:30
16.7THE REAL PULL, 2:07 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SHESTERKIN STAYED IN UNTIL 2:07, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:01HORVAT PENALTY. TRIPPING.
2:18NYR TIMEOUT.
2:07SHESTERKIN TO THE BENCH. NYR GOES 6 ON 5.
0:17HOLMSTROM SCORES. NYR 0, NYI 2.

TIMEOUTS

The Rangers called its timeout in the third period, with 2:18 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE RANGERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, THE ISLANDERS SCORED ONE, AND THE ISLANDERS WON 2-0.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.