PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID EDMONTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST PHILADELPHIA?

JAN 3, 2026 · ROGERS PLACE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALPHI 5, EDM 2
AFTER 2PHI 3, EDM 2
REAL PULLEDM 4:00
MODELWHISTLE 2.2%
REAL ONE2.1%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSPHI 29, EDM 25

Edmonton pulled Pickard with 4:00 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Philadelphia hit the empty net with 1:10 left. With 6:22 left the model liked AT THE NEXT WHISTLE best, 2.2% to win against 2.1% for the real pull. Philadelphia won 5-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Edmonton faced with 6:22 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
2.2AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
2.1PULL HIM NOW
1.7WAIT UNTIL 1:30
2.1THE REAL PULL, 4:00 REAL
THE REAL CALL

PICKARD STAYED IN UNTIL 4:00, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:00PICKARD TO THE BENCH. EDM GOES 6 ON 5.
1:10TIPPETT SCORES. PHI 5, EDM 2.
0:00HATHAWAY PENALTY. UNSPORTSMANLIKE CONDUCT.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE OILERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, PHILADELPHIA SCORED TWO, AND PHILADELPHIA WON 5-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.