PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID ST. LOUIS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST UTAH?

JAN 9, 2026 · DELTA CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSTL 2, UTA 4
AFTER 2STL 2, UTA 3
REAL PULLSTL 3:08
MODELNOW 5.4%
REAL ONE4.6%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSSTL 28, UTA 23

St. Louis pulled late, by the model. Hofer went to the bench with 3:08 left, down two. With 4:23 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 5.4% to win; the real pull was worth 4.6%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Utah won 4-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call St. Louis faced with 4:23 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
5.4PULL HIM NOW BEST
4.7AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
3.8WAIT UNTIL 1:30
4.6THE REAL PULL, 3:08 REAL
THE REAL CALL

HOFER STAYED IN UNTIL 3:08, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:23GUENTHER PENALTY. INTERFERENCE.
3:08HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE BLUES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, UTAH SCORED ONE, AND UTAH WON 4-2.

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