PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID OTTAWA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST FLORIDA?

JAN 10, 2026 · CANADIAN TIRE CENTRE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALFLA 3, OTT 2
AFTER 2FLA 2, OTT 1
REAL PULLOTT 1:30
MODELWAIT 1:12 5.2%
REAL ONE5.2%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSFLA 21, OTT 19

Ottawa pulled Merilainen with 1:30 left, down one (he had come out once already, with 2:24 left), and never got the tying goal. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 1:42 graded GOOD CALL, 5.2% to win against a best of 5.2%. Florida won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Ottawa faced with 1:42 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
5.2WAIT UNTIL 1:12 BEST REAL
5.1PULL HIM NOW
5.0AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

MERILAINEN STAYED IN UNTIL 1:30, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:24MERILAINEN TO THE BENCH. OTT GOES 6 ON 5.
1:42BATHERSON SCORES. FLA 3, OTT 2.
1:30MERILAINEN TO THE BENCH. OTT GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE SENATORS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, FLORIDA SCORED ONE, AND FLORIDA WON 3-2.

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