PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID EDMONTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST THE ISLANDERS?

JAN 15, 2026 · ROGERS PLACE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYI 1, EDM 0
AFTER 2NYI 0, EDM 0
REAL PULLEDM 1:40
MODELNOW 7.7%
REAL ONE7.2%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSNYI 18, EDM 35

Edmonton pulled a little late, by the model. Ingram went to the bench with 1:40 left, down one. With 2:36 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 7.7% to win; the real pull was worth 7.2%, graded FAIR. The Islanders won 1-0.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Edmonton faced with 2:36 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.7PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.2WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

INGRAM STAYED IN UNTIL 1:40, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:40INGRAM TO THE BENCH. EDM GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE OILERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, THE ISLANDERS SCORED ONE, AND THE ISLANDERS WON 1-0.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.