PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID SEATTLE PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST UTAH?

JAN 17, 2026 · DELTA CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSEA 3, UTA 6
AFTER 2SEA 3, UTA 3
REAL PULLSEA 3:02
MODELWHISTLE 1.5%
REAL ONE1.4%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSSEA 21, UTA 31

Seattle pulled Grubauer with 3:02 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Utah hit the empty net with 0:51 left. With 4:48 left the model liked AT THE NEXT WHISTLE best, 1.5% to win against 1.4% for the real pull. Utah won 6-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Seattle faced with 4:48 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
1.4PULL HIM NOW
1.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
1.4THE REAL PULL, 3:02 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GRUBAUER STAYED IN UNTIL 3:02, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:48CROUSE SCORES. SEA 3, UTA 5.
3:02GRUBAUER TO THE BENCH. SEA GOES 6 ON 5.
0:51HAYTON SCORES. SEA 3, UTA 6.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE KRAKEN SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, UTAH SCORED THREE, AND UTAH WON 6-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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