PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID VANCOUVER PULL THE GOALIE TOO EARLY AGAINST THE ISLANDERS?

JAN 19, 2026 · ROGERS ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYI 4, VAN 3
AFTER 2NYI 3, VAN 2
REAL PULLVAN 1:45
MODELWAIT 1:21 5.7%
REAL ONE5.3%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSNYI 33, VAN 32

Vancouver went a little early, by the model. Lankinen came out with 1:45 left, down one (he had come out once already, with 4:16 left). With 1:51 left the model liked WAIT UNTIL 1:21: 5.7% to win, against 5.3% for the real pull, graded FAIR. The Islanders won 4-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Vancouver faced with 1:51 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
5.7WAIT UNTIL 1:21 BEST
5.5PULL HIM NOW
5.3AT THE NEXT WHISTLE REAL
THE REAL CALL

LANKINEN STAYED IN FOR THE DRAW. PULLED AT THE 1:45 WHISTLE (ICING) FOR AN OFFENSIVE ZONE DRAW.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:16LANKINEN TO THE BENCH. VAN GOES 6 ON 5.
3:59LANKINEN TO THE BENCH. VAN GOES 6 ON 5.
1:51O'CONNOR SCORES. NYI 4, VAN 3.
1:51VAN TIMEOUT.
1:45LANKINEN TO THE BENCH. VAN GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Vancouver called its timeout in the third period, with 1:51 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE CANUCKS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, THE ISLANDERS SCORED ONE, AND THE ISLANDERS WON 4-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.