PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID EDMONTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST NEW JERSEY?

JAN 20, 2026 · ROGERS PLACE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNJD 2, EDM 1
AFTER 2NJD 2, EDM 1
REAL PULLEDM 1:31
MODELNOW 6.6%
REAL ONE5.5%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSNJD 17, EDM 23

Edmonton pulled too late, by the model. Jarry went to the bench with 1:31 left, down one. With 1:54 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 6.6% to win; the real pull was worth 5.5%, graded COSTLY. New Jersey won 2-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Edmonton faced with 1:54 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
6.6PULL HIM NOW BEST
5.5WAIT UNTIL 1:24 REAL
5.1AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

JARRY STAYED IN UNTIL 1:31, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:31JARRY TO THE BENCH. EDM GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE OILERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, NEW JERSEY SCORED NOTHING, AND NEW JERSEY WON 2-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.