PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID ST. LOUIS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST WINNIPEG?

JAN 20, 2026 · CANADA LIFE CENTRE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSTL 1, WPG 3
AFTER 2STL 1, WPG 2
REAL PULLSTL 1:56
MODELNOW 0.5%
REAL ONE0.5%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSSTL 23, WPG 16

St. Louis pulled Hofer with 1:56 left, down two (he had come out once already, with 2:37 left), and never got the tying goal. Winnipeg hit the empty net with 2:23 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 2:23 graded GOOD CALL, 0.5% to win against a best of 0.5%. Winnipeg won 3-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call St. Louis faced with 2:23 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
0.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
0.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.4WAIT UNTIL 1:30
0.5THE REAL PULL, 1:56 REAL
THE REAL CALL

HOFER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:56, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:37HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5.
2:23SCHEIFELE SCORES. STL 1, WPG 3.
1:56HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5.
0:55HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE BLUES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, WINNIPEG SCORED ONE, AND WINNIPEG WON 3-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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