DID ST. LOUIS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST WINNIPEG?
JAN 20, 2026 · CANADA LIFE CENTRE · THE GAUNTLET
FINALSTL 1, WPG 3
AFTER 2STL 1, WPG 2
REAL PULLSTL 1:56
MODELNOW 0.5%
REAL ONE0.5%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSSTL 23, WPG 16
St. Louis pulled Hofer with 1:56 left, down two (he had come out once already, with 2:37 left), and never got the tying goal. Winnipeg hit the empty net with 2:23 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 2:23 graded GOOD CALL, 0.5% to win against a best of 0.5%. Winnipeg won 3-1.
THE MODEL'S CALL
The call St. Louis faced with 2:23 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.
| WIN % | CALL |
|---|---|
| 0.5 | PULL HIM NOW BEST |
| 0.5 | AT THE NEXT WHISTLE |
| 0.4 | WAIT UNTIL 1:30 |
| 0.5 | THE REAL PULL, 1:56 REAL |
THE REAL CALL
HOFER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:56, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.
THE LAST FIVE MINUTES
| 2:37 | HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5. |
| 2:23 | SCHEIFELE SCORES. STL 1, WPG 3. |
| 1:56 | HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5. |
| 0:55 | HOFER TO THE BENCH. STL GOES 6 ON 5. |
TIMEOUTS
Neither team called its timeout.
WHAT HAPPENED
THE BLUES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, WINNIPEG SCORED ONE, AND WINNIPEG WON 3-1.