PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WINNIPEG PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST DETROIT?

JAN 24, 2026 · CANADA LIFE CENTRE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALDET 5, WPG 1
AFTER 2DET 1, WPG 1
REAL PULLWPG 3:00
MODELWHISTLE 1.8%
REAL ONE1.7%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSDET 31, WPG 27

Winnipeg pulled Hellebuyck with 3:00 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Detroit hit the empty net with 1:49 left. With 5:19 left the model liked AT THE NEXT WHISTLE best, 1.8% to win against 1.7% for the real pull. Detroit won 5-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Winnipeg faced with 5:19 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
1.7PULL HIM NOW
1.4WAIT UNTIL 1:30
1.7THE REAL PULL, 3:00 REAL
THE REAL CALL

HELLEBUYCK STAYED IN UNTIL 3:00, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:00HELLEBUYCK TO THE BENCH. WPG GOES 6 ON 5.
1:49DEBRINCAT SCORES. DET 4, WPG 1.
1:17KASPER SCORES. DET 5, WPG 1.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE JETS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, DETROIT SCORED FOUR, AND DETROIT WON 5-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.