PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID TORONTO PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST BUFFALO?

JAN 27, 2026 · SCOTIABANK ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALBUF 7, TOR 4
AFTER 2BUF 4, TOR 3
REAL PULLTOR 2:36
MODELWHISTLE 1.6%
REAL ONE1.4%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSBUF 31, TOR 23

Toronto pulled Woll with 2:36 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Buffalo hit the empty net with 0:44 left. With 5:01 left the model liked AT THE NEXT WHISTLE best, 1.6% to win against 1.4% for the real pull. Buffalo won 7-4.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Toronto faced with 5:01 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
1.5PULL HIM NOW
1.1WAIT UNTIL 1:30
1.4THE REAL PULL, 2:36 REAL
THE REAL CALL

WOLL STAYED IN UNTIL 2:36, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:36WOLL TO THE BENCH. TOR GOES 6 ON 5.
0:44DAHLIN SCORES. BUF 7, TOR 4.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE MAPLE LEAFS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, BUFFALO SCORED THREE, AND BUFFALO WON 7-4.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.