PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID VEGAS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST SEATTLE?

JAN 31, 2026 · T-MOBILE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSEA 3, VGK 2
AFTER 2SEA 2, VGK 2
REAL PULLVGK 1:51
MODELNOW 9.1%
REAL ONE8.4%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSSEA 22, VGK 29

Vegas pulled late, by the model. Schmid went to the bench with 1:51 left, down one. With 3:35 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 9.1% to win; the real pull was worth 8.4%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Seattle won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Vegas faced with 3:35 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
9.1PULL HIM NOW BEST
8.4AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
7.9WAIT UNTIL 1:30
8.4THE REAL PULL, 1:51 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SCHMID STAYED IN UNTIL 1:51, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:51SCHMID TO THE BENCH. VGK GOES 6 ON 5.
1:10SCHMID TO THE BENCH. VGK GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, SEATTLE SCORED ONE, AND SEATTLE WON 3-2.

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